Wednesday, September 23, 2020

EUR/CHF: a trading range.

If we look at the chart, we can notice that the most suitable trading strategy is the trading range, among the two FIBO levels, respectively at about 1.072 (lower level and support, buy-level) and at about 1.085 (upper level and resistance, sell/short-level). The two levels represent 38.20% and 78.60%, FIBO retracements of the movement top-bottom, from the high of June 2020 (1.091) to the low of July 2020 (1.06). The prices are fluctuating in that trading range area or rectangle area: in other words, the break of the upper or of the lower area could trigger two targets above and below, at least near the previous top (100% FIBO) or at least near the previous bottom (0% FIBO).
If the conditions will not change, this is the current context, due to the chart framework.


Chart from Markets.com


The trading range is marked also by the flattening of the EMA bundle and also by other indicators like MACD, RSI, CCI. The latter report neither an overbought nor an oversold area. It is a general flattening and rebalancing among bulls and bears. After a bullish wave until 1.091, we have seen total reabsorption: now, it is a lateral trend marked by the restricted volatility of the BBs and of the PSAR.
The presence of small candles or candles with small bodies emphasizes the mentioned market context: we speak of many candles with upper or lower shadows or Doji candles; the only and remarkable ups and downs are shown by long candles, green or red, however always within the rectangle area.
We just have to wait for the next market sessions; until then, we need to trade that area.